Wednesday, May 20, 2009

The 2010 Republican Elections to the United States Senate



Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 2, 2010, with at least 36 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate being contested. Thirty-four of these are to six-year terms, from January 3, 2011 to January 3, 2017. They will join Senate Class III, which traces its roots back to the senators who served full six-year terms from March 4, 1789 to March 3, 1795. Elections to the United States House of Representatives as well as some state and local elections will occur on the same date.

In addition to the 34 senators in Class III, there will be two special elections in 2010 to fill unexpired terms. One of these elections will be in Delaware to fill the last four years of the Class II seat previously held by Vice President Joe Biden. In 2008, Biden was simultaneously reelected to his seat in the U.S. Senate, a seat he had held since 1972. His resignation from the Senate seat resulted in Democratic then- Governor Ruth Ann Minner appointing Democrat Ted Kaufman to the seat until November 2010. Kaufman has since stated that he will not run for the unexpired term in 2010. This seat will again be up for election in 2014 for a full six-year term. The other special election will be held for New York's Class I seat previously held by by U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Clinton was reelected to her second term in 2006 but was confirmed as Secretary of State in January 2009, which resulted in Democratic Governor David Paterson appointing Democratic U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to the seat until November 2010. Gillibrand has stated that she will run for the unexpired term in 2010. This seat will again be up for election in 2012 for a full six-year term.

The current composition of the U.S. Senate going into the 2010 elections is a result of the 2008 elections, in which Democrats gained eight seats. The Democratic Party gained another seat with the political realignment of Arlen Specter on April 28, 2009. The U.S. Senate is currently composed of 57 Democrats, 40 Republicans, and two IndependentsJoe Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, both of whom caucus with the Democrats—and one outstanding seat in Minnesota. Of the seats expected to be up for election in 2010, 18 are held by Republicans and 18 by Democrats.

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) Chairman Robert Menendez of New Jersey has stated he does not expect any other Democratic retirements besides Ted Kaufman.

Now let's take a look at how many Republican seats are up for grabs.

We have 13 Republican incumbents seats and State they are from
You can click on each name for more information on the Senator

1 Richard Shelby of Alabama - was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2004 Shelby's 2010 campaign committee had over $13 million on hand as of September 30, 2008, and will stand for reelection in 2010.

2 Lisa Murkowski of Alaska - was reelected to a full term in 2004 with 48.6% of the vote. Murkowski has announced that she will seek reelection


3 John McCain of Arizona - was reelected with 77% of the vote in 2004. McCain has signaled his intention to run for a fifth term in 2010


4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia - was elected with 58% of the vote in 2004. Isakson has announced that he will run for reelection.

5 Mike Crapo of Idaho - was reelected against only token write-in opposition with 99% of the vote in 2004 after Idaho Democrats failed to produce a candidate before the filing deadline. Not sure if he will run for Reelection.

6 Chuck Grassley of Iowa - was reelected with 70% of the vote in 2004. Conservative Republicans suggest Grassley may face a primary challenge due to his lack of support for their issues.

7 Jim Bunning of Kentucky - was narrowly reelected with 51% of the vote in 2004 against his Democratic opponent, then-state Senator Daniel Mongiardo, after several of Bunning's controversial actions made the race close. Bunning intends to run for reelection, but some Republicans are trying to talk Bunning out of running again.

8 David Vitter of Louisiana - was elected with 51% of the vote in 2004. Vitter has announced that he will seek reelection.

9 Richard Burr of North Carolina - was elected with 52% of the vote in 2004. Burr is considered a vulnerable incumbent due to his poor approval ratings (currently in the mid-30 percent range) and low profile statewide.

10 Tom Coburn of Oklahoma - Freshman Republican Tom Coburn was elected with 53% of the vote in 2004. Coburn raised less than $20,000 in the fourth quarter of 2008 and reports less than $55,000 "cash on hand." This has caused some observers to speculate that he is not preparing to run for reelection in 2010.

11 Jim DeMint of South Carolina - Freshman Republican Jim DeMint was elected with 54% of the vote in 2004. DeMint has raised 2.2 million dollars for his intended reelection bid.

12 John Thune of South Dakota - Freshman Republican John Thune was elected with 51% of the vote in 2004. Thune will likely run for a second term in 2010.

13 Bob Bennett of Utah - Three-term Republican Bob Bennett was reelected with 69% of the vote in 2004. Bennett intends to run for reelection.

We have 17 seats that are up for reelection.

Here is the break down as of May 21, 2009

1. AL. Richard Shelby Running for reelection Other candidates = noneAK. Lisa Murkowski Running for reelection Other candidates = none

2. AZ. John McCain Running for reelection Other candidates = 3
Jim Deakin
(R) Chris Simcox (R)
Rudy Garcia
(D)
Remember this is a high Hispanic State AZ could be a toss up State!

3. FL. Mel Martinez is Retiring Other candidates = 15
Bob Coggins
(R) Charlie Crist (R)
Linda Vasquez Littlefield
(R)
Gwendolyn McClellan
(R) Marco Rubio (R) Bob Smith (R) Marion Thorpe (R)
Tom Walsh
(R)
Joe Allen
(D)
Tyrone Brown
(D) Kevin Burns (D) Dan Gelber (D)
George Lovenguth
(D) Kendrick Meek (D)
Remember this is a high Hispanic State FL could be a toss up State!

4. GA. Johnny Isakson Running for reelection Other candidates = none

5. ID. Mike Crapo not sure if he will run for reelection Other candidates = open/none

6. IA. Chuck Grassley Running for reelection Other candidates = 1
Bob Krause (D)

7. KS. Sam Brownback Retiring Other candidates = 2
Jerry Moran (R) Todd Tiahrt (R)

8. KY Jim Bunning Running for reelection Other candidates = 3
Jack Conway (D) Daniel Mongiardo (D) Darlene Fitzgerald Price (D)

9. LA. David Vitter Running for reelection Other candidates = none

10. MO. Kit Bond Retiring Other candidates = 2
Roy Blunt (R)
Robin Carnahan (D)

11. NH. Judd Gregg Retiring Other candidates = 1
Paul Hodes (D)

12. NC. Richard Burr Not sure if he is running for reelection Other candidates = 2
John Hendrix (D) Kenneth Lewis (D)

13. OH. George Voinovich Retiring Other candidates = 4
Rob Portman (R)
Jennifer Brunner (D) Lee Fisher (D) Tyrone Yates (D)

14. OK. Tom Coburn Not sure if he is running for reelection Other candidates = none

15. SC. Jim DeMint Running for reelection Other candidates = none

16. SD. John Thune Running for reelection Other candidates = none

17. UT. Bob Bennett Running for reelection Other candidates =1
Mark Shurtleff (R)

Republican due to retire in 2010:

FL. Mel Martinez
KS. Sam Brownback
MO. Kit Bond
NH. Judd Gregg
OH. George Voinovich


1. Special election due to the resignation of Vice President Joe Biden (D)
2. Special election due to the resignation of U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
















Senate Seats up for Election:
Republican incumbent Retiring Republican Two Democratic incumbents Democratic incumbent Retiring Democrat No election

Here is a list of the Senate contest for 2010

Senate contests in 2010

The following seats are considered safe in most current predictions:

Republican: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, and Utah.


Source from Wikipedia

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